Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 10.1%
$17,988 交易量
$17,988 交易量
2026-04-12
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
47%
23°C or higher
11%
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 10.1%
$17,988 交易量
$17,988 交易量
2026-04-12
13°C or below
$941 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,955 交易量
1%
15°C
$737 交易量
<1%
16°C
$873 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,018 交易量
1%
18°C
$2,035 交易量
1%
19°C
$2,371 交易量
2%
20°C
$1,516 交易量
10%
21°C
$1,445 交易量
32%
22°C
$1,801 交易量
47%
23°C or higher
$3,314 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$17,988結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,988結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions