Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Austin at 52% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 84-85°F on April 13 amid building high pressure. Recent showers and isolated severe storms across Central Texas on April 11-12 have introduced cloudiness and gusty winds, slightly tempering earlier hotter outlooks but not derailing the warming trend, as post-frontal clearing is anticipated with light southerly flow. April climatology typically sees highs around 80°F, but above-normal patterns persist per NOAA's Central Region outlook, with inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—new runs expected overnight may shift probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 53%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 17%
78-79°F 6.2%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
24%
84°F or higher
53%
84°F or higher 53%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 17%
78-79°F 6.2%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
24%
84°F or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Austin at 52% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 84-85°F on April 13 amid building high pressure. Recent showers and isolated severe storms across Central Texas on April 11-12 have introduced cloudiness and gusty winds, slightly tempering earlier hotter outlooks but not derailing the warming trend, as post-frontal clearing is anticipated with light southerly flow. April climatology typically sees highs around 80°F, but above-normal patterns persist per NOAA's Central Region outlook, with inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—new runs expected overnight may shift probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions