Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 29%
64-65°F 13%
58-59°F 12%
$34,108 交易量
$34,108 交易量
2026-04-11
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
13%
66°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 29%
64-65°F 13%
58-59°F 12%
$34,108 交易量
$34,108 交易量
2026-04-11
58-59°F
$3,377 交易量
12%
60-61°F
$1,894 交易量
38%
62-63°F
$1,846 交易量
29%
64-65°F
$3,192 交易量
13%
66°F or higher
$3,648 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$34,108結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$34,108結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions