Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 24%
54-55°F 9.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
4%
66°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 24%
54-55°F 9.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
47°F or below
$930 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$2,241 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$777 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$371 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$682 交易量
9%
56-57°F
$333 交易量
24%
58-59°F
$419 交易量
37%
60-61°F
$596 交易量
24%
62-63°F
$377 交易量
6%
64-65°F
$359 交易量
4%
66°F or higher
$686 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$7,771結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,771結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions