Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
19%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
27%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
16°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
12°C or below
$68 交易量
1%
13°C
$24 交易量
2%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$40 交易量
26%
16°C
$52 交易量
23%
17°C
$7 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$1 交易量
16%
20°C
$20 交易量
3%
21°C
$20 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$52 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$107結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$107結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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