Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月14日拉各斯的最高溫度？
4月14日拉各斯的最高溫度？
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
28°C或以下
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
12%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
17%
35°C
15%
36°C
14%
37°C
12%
38°C或更高
8%
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
28°C或以下
$32 交易量
7%
29°C
$2 交易量
12%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
16%
32°C
$0 交易量
22%
33°C
$0 交易量
22%
34°C
$0 交易量
17%
35°C
$0 交易量
15%
36°C
$2 交易量
14%
37°C
$2 交易量
12%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound short-term uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C due to the city's climatological April average high of 32°C and NiMet's recent bulletins forecasting 34°C highs through April 11 amid the rainy season onset. Slightly elevated odds for warmer outcomes stem from urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating under partly cloudy skies, while cooler scenarios hinge on isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze moderation, as observed in early April's cloudier, sub-30°C days. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, precipitation likelihood per NiMet updates, and afternoon humidity trapping heat; expect refined guidance from tomorrow's NiMet bulletin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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