Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
21°C 32%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
18°C or below
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
18°C or below
$920 交易量
2%
19°C
$188 交易量
9%
20°C
$32 交易量
25%
21°C
$27 交易量
32%
22°C
$131 交易量
24%
23°C
$21 交易量
15%
24°C
$365 交易量
12%
25°C
$31 交易量
2%
26°C
$124 交易量
1%
27°C
$140 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$147 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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