Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$59,008 交易量
$59,008 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
99%
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$59,008 交易量
$59,008 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions