Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
21°C or below 74%
22°C 15%
23°C 15%
25°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
21°C or below
73%
22°C
15%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 74%
22°C 15%
23°C 15%
25°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
21°C or below
$127 交易量
73%
22°C
$7 交易量
15%
23°C
$7 交易量
15%
24°C
$44 交易量
5%
25°C
$9 交易量
5%
26°C
$7 交易量
5%
27°C
$16 交易量
3%
28°C
$9 交易量
3%
29°C
$9 交易量
4%
30°C
$9 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$38 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$252結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$252結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETEnvironment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions