Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, updated April 10, pegs Toronto's April 12 high at 9°C under showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping warming after Saturday's sunnier 12°C maximum; this aligns with trader consensus favoring 8°C (31%) as the peak outcome amid 7–10°C probabilities exceeding 80% combined. The Weather Network models suggest an even cooler 7°C afternoon peak with 90% rain chances and northerly gusts to 30 km/h, introducing uncertainty via cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could suppress to 6–7°C, while breaks might push toward 10–11°C. Short-range model disagreements on precip timing heighten volatility, with official observations resolving the market tomorrow; climatological mid-April highs average 11°C, but transient cool air mass dominates current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
8°C 27.1%
9°C 21.2%
10°C 17%
7°C 14.8%
$34,673 交易量
$34,673 交易量
5°C or below
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
15%
8°C
27%
9°C
21%
10°C
17%
11°C
5%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
8°C 27.1%
9°C 21.2%
10°C 17%
7°C 14.8%
$34,673 交易量
$34,673 交易量
5°C or below
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
15%
8°C
27%
9°C
21%
10°C
17%
11°C
5%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, updated April 10, pegs Toronto's April 12 high at 9°C under showers from an approaching low-pressure system, capping warming after Saturday's sunnier 12°C maximum; this aligns with trader consensus favoring 8°C (31%) as the peak outcome amid 7–10°C probabilities exceeding 80% combined. The Weather Network models suggest an even cooler 7°C afternoon peak with 90% rain chances and northerly gusts to 30 km/h, introducing uncertainty via cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could suppress to 6–7°C, while breaks might push toward 10–11°C. Short-range model disagreements on precip timing heighten volatility, with official observations resolving the market tomorrow; climatological mid-April highs average 11°C, but transient cool air mass dominates current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions