Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, issued April 9, projects a high of 18°C on April 13 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with southwest winds gusting to 40 km/h aiding mild advection from the U.S. Midwest. Yet trader consensus favors slightly warmer outcomes—19°C at 24.5%, 20°C at 19.5%, and 21°C at 17.5%—reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a 17-22°C spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud breaks that could enhance afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal spring warmth persists from a retreating polar vortex, but frontal proximity introduces volatility; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's Environment Canada bulletin for resolution shifts ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月13日多倫多氣溫最高?
4月13日多倫多氣溫最高?
19°C 25%
20°C 20.9%
21°C 18%
22°C 11%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
25%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
4%
19°C 25%
20°C 20.9%
21°C 18%
22°C 11%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
25%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, issued April 9, projects a high of 18°C on April 13 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with southwest winds gusting to 40 km/h aiding mild advection from the U.S. Midwest. Yet trader consensus favors slightly warmer outcomes—19°C at 24.5%, 20°C at 19.5%, and 21°C at 17.5%—reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a 17-22°C spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud breaks that could enhance afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal spring warmth persists from a retreating polar vortex, but frontal proximity introduces volatility; watch overnight model updates and tomorrow's Environment Canada bulletin for resolution shifts ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions