Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest edge to 82-83°F at 33.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 84°F or higher at 25.5% and 80-81°F at 20.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting low-to-mid 80s amid a warming trend. Recent observations show highs near 81°F on April 9 under partly cloudy skies, but scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend have introduced soil moisture and cloudiness risks. Key differentiators include thunderstorm timing—early convection could cap peaks at 80-81°F via shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed storms or more sunshine favor 84°F+—with severe weather outlooks highlighting hail potential that boosts uncertainty. New HRRR model runs and NWS updates expected today will refine timing before resolution at Houston Hobby Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
82-83°F 33%
84°F or higher 31%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
33%
84°F or higher
31%
82-83°F 33%
84°F or higher 31%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
65°F or below
$1,138 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,425 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$735 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$411 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$469 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$90 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$71 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$15 交易量
10%
80-81°F
$6 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$319 交易量
33%
84°F or higher
$72 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest edge to 82-83°F at 33.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 84°F or higher at 25.5% and 80-81°F at 20.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting low-to-mid 80s amid a warming trend. Recent observations show highs near 81°F on April 9 under partly cloudy skies, but scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend have introduced soil moisture and cloudiness risks. Key differentiators include thunderstorm timing—early convection could cap peaks at 80-81°F via shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed storms or more sunshine favor 84°F+—with severe weather outlooks highlighting hail potential that boosts uncertainty. New HRRR model runs and NWS updates expected today will refine timing before resolution at Houston Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$4,742結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest edge to 82-83°F at 33.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 84°F or higher at 25.5% and 80-81°F at 20.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting low-to-mid 80s amid a warming trend. Recent observations show highs near 81°F on April 9 under partly cloudy skies, but scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend have introduced soil moisture and cloudiness risks. Key differentiators include thunderstorm timing—early convection could cap peaks at 80-81°F via shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed storms or more sunshine favor 84°F+—with severe weather outlooks highlighting hail potential that boosts uncertainty. New HRRR model runs and NWS updates expected today will refine timing before resolution at Houston Hobby Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,742結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest edge to 82-83°F at 33.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 84°F or higher at 25.5% and 80-81°F at 20.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting low-to-mid 80s amid a warming trend. Recent observations show highs near 81°F on April 9 under partly cloudy skies, but scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend have introduced soil moisture and cloudiness risks. Key differentiators include thunderstorm timing—early convection could cap peaks at 80-81°F via shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed storms or more sunshine favor 84°F+—with severe weather outlooks highlighting hail potential that boosts uncertainty. New HRRR model runs and NWS updates expected today will refine timing before resolution at Houston Hobby Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions