Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Denver's high temperature on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split roughly evenly—about half the members showing a potent upper-level trough and cold front stalling over Colorado to cap highs at 47°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible light precipitation, while the other half depict a delayed trough allowing a ridge to build and downslope chinook winds to push temperatures to 66°F or higher under sunny conditions. This bimodal spread stems from divergent jet stream phasing over the Rockies, a common April challenge at Denver's Front Range location where historical normals hover around 61°F but swings of 20°F+ occur frequently. National Weather Service guidance leans mild but acknowledges model inconsistencies; watch for 12Z runs and afternoon forecast updates that could sharpen the signal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 14?
60-61°F 26%
66°F or higher 26%
56-57°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
47°F or below
3%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
30%
60-61°F 26%
66°F or higher 26%
56-57°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
47°F or below
$176 交易量
3%
48-49°F
$3 交易量
3%
50-51°F
$45 交易量
6%
52-53°F
$69 交易量
9%
54-55°F
$34 交易量
7%
56-57°F
$95 交易量
13%
58-59°F
$109 交易量
17%
60-61°F
$39 交易量
21%
62-63°F
$26 交易量
21%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
14%
66°F or higher
$66 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Denver's high temperature on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split roughly evenly—about half the members showing a potent upper-level trough and cold front stalling over Colorado to cap highs at 47°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible light precipitation, while the other half depict a delayed trough allowing a ridge to build and downslope chinook winds to push temperatures to 66°F or higher under sunny conditions. This bimodal spread stems from divergent jet stream phasing over the Rockies, a common April challenge at Denver's Front Range location where historical normals hover around 61°F but swings of 20°F+ occur frequently. National Weather Service guidance leans mild but acknowledges model inconsistencies; watch for 12Z runs and afternoon forecast updates that could sharpen the signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$434結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Denver's high temperature on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split roughly evenly—about half the members showing a potent upper-level trough and cold front stalling over Colorado to cap highs at 47°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible light precipitation, while the other half depict a delayed trough allowing a ridge to build and downslope chinook winds to push temperatures to 66°F or higher under sunny conditions. This bimodal spread stems from divergent jet stream phasing over the Rockies, a common April challenge at Denver's Front Range location where historical normals hover around 61°F but swings of 20°F+ occur frequently. National Weather Service guidance leans mild but acknowledges model inconsistencies; watch for 12Z runs and afternoon forecast updates that could sharpen the signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$434結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Denver's high temperature on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split roughly evenly—about half the members showing a potent upper-level trough and cold front stalling over Colorado to cap highs at 47°F or below amid cloudy skies and possible light precipitation, while the other half depict a delayed trough allowing a ridge to build and downslope chinook winds to push temperatures to 66°F or higher under sunny conditions. This bimodal spread stems from divergent jet stream phasing over the Rockies, a common April challenge at Denver's Front Range location where historical normals hover around 61°F but swings of 20°F+ occur frequently. National Weather Service guidance leans mild but acknowledges model inconsistencies; watch for 12Z runs and afternoon forecast updates that could sharpen the signal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions