Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's April 14 high temperature in the 19–22°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these outcomes. A recent cool spell through early April, with highs dipping to 11–14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from the north, has given way to model consensus on mild diurnal heating as high-pressure builds. Key differentiators include forecast uncertainty in cloud amount evolution and boundary layer mixing, which can shift peaks by 2–3°C; historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C but show high variability. KMA updates expected twice daily through April 13 will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
21°C 21%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
16%
20°C
14%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
9%
21°C 21%
22°C 16%
19°C 16%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
14°C or below
$828 交易量
1%
15°C
$412 交易量
2%
16°C
$383 交易量
4%
17°C
$551 交易量
7%
18°C
$532 交易量
12%
19°C
$310 交易量
16%
20°C
$318 交易量
14%
21°C
$373 交易量
21%
22°C
$387 交易量
16%
23°C
$398 交易量
10%
24°C or higher
$1,018 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's April 14 high temperature in the 19–22°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these outcomes. A recent cool spell through early April, with highs dipping to 11–14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from the north, has given way to model consensus on mild diurnal heating as high-pressure builds. Key differentiators include forecast uncertainty in cloud amount evolution and boundary layer mixing, which can shift peaks by 2–3°C; historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C but show high variability. KMA updates expected twice daily through April 13 will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$5,509結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's April 14 high temperature in the 19–22°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these outcomes. A recent cool spell through early April, with highs dipping to 11–14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from the north, has given way to model consensus on mild diurnal heating as high-pressure builds. Key differentiators include forecast uncertainty in cloud amount evolution and boundary layer mixing, which can shift peaks by 2–3°C; historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C but show high variability. KMA updates expected twice daily through April 13 will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,509結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's April 14 high temperature in the 19–22°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these outcomes. A recent cool spell through early April, with highs dipping to 11–14°C amid persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from the north, has given way to model consensus on mild diurnal heating as high-pressure builds. Key differentiators include forecast uncertainty in cloud amount evolution and boundary layer mixing, which can shift peaks by 2–3°C; historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C but show high variability. KMA updates expected twice daily through April 13 will likely sharpen the consensus ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions