Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 22°C or higher in Mexico City on April 14, reflecting strong alignment with official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects daytime highs of 25-28°C through mid-April amid a stable high-pressure ridge and typical dry-season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates for April 11-13 confirm consistent warm conditions (25-27°C highs) despite afternoon showers from upper-level instability, with minimal cooling influence from variable winds or cloud cover. This positioning draws from model consensus (GFS, ECMWF equivalents) showing low precipitation odds (under 30%) and historical April averages near 26°C. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward cold front surge or persistent convective storms suppressing surface heating, though current guidance deems these low-probability; watch SMN's daily regional briefing for April 14 updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
22°C or higher 98.0%
21°C 1.8%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$24,037 交易量
$24,037 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
98%
22°C or higher 98.0%
21°C 1.8%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$24,037 交易量
$24,037 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 22°C or higher in Mexico City on April 14, reflecting strong alignment with official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects daytime highs of 25-28°C through mid-April amid a stable high-pressure ridge and typical dry-season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent SMN updates for April 11-13 confirm consistent warm conditions (25-27°C highs) despite afternoon showers from upper-level instability, with minimal cooling influence from variable winds or cloud cover. This positioning draws from model consensus (GFS, ECMWF equivalents) showing low precipitation odds (under 30%) and historical April averages near 26°C. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward cold front surge or persistent convective storms suppressing surface heating, though current guidance deems these low-probability; watch SMN's daily regional briefing for April 14 updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions