Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen's April 14 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts clustering around 28–30°C amid divergent cloud cover and sea breeze projections. Current observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show daytime highs in the mid-20s°C—mild above the mid-April climatological normal of 27°C—under ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical subtropical spring warming without extreme drivers. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification versus moderating onshore winds; a high-pressure ridge could favor 30°C, while scattered showers tip toward 28°C. Key updates expected from CMA 00Z model runs and real-time soundings before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 14?
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
15%
28°C
23%
29°C
27%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
8%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
22°C or below
$581 交易量
1%
23°C
$777 交易量
1%
24°C
$488 交易量
1%
25°C
$364 交易量
1%
26°C
$646 交易量
1%
27°C
$53 交易量
15%
28°C
$111 交易量
23%
29°C
$15 交易量
27%
30°C
$28 交易量
26%
31°C
$343 交易量
13%
32°C or higher
$195 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen's April 14 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts clustering around 28–30°C amid divergent cloud cover and sea breeze projections. Current observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show daytime highs in the mid-20s°C—mild above the mid-April climatological normal of 27°C—under ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical subtropical spring warming without extreme drivers. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification versus moderating onshore winds; a high-pressure ridge could favor 30°C, while scattered showers tip toward 28°C. Key updates expected from CMA 00Z model runs and real-time soundings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$3,604結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen's April 14 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts clustering around 28–30°C amid divergent cloud cover and sea breeze projections. Current observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show daytime highs in the mid-20s°C—mild above the mid-April climatological normal of 27°C—under ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical subtropical spring warming without extreme drivers. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification versus moderating onshore winds; a high-pressure ridge could favor 30°C, while scattered showers tip toward 28°C. Key updates expected from CMA 00Z model runs and real-time soundings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,604結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Shenzhen's April 14 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts clustering around 28–30°C amid divergent cloud cover and sea breeze projections. Current observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show daytime highs in the mid-20s°C—mild above the mid-April climatological normal of 27°C—under ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical subtropical spring warming without extreme drivers. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification versus moderating onshore winds; a high-pressure ridge could favor 30°C, while scattered showers tip toward 28°C. Key updates expected from CMA 00Z model runs and real-time soundings before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions