Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) highs of 64-69°F on April 14, driven by lingering onshore flow and partial clearing after recent weekend rains that depressed temperatures into the low 60s. The tight clustering among top outcomes stems from uncertainty in marine layer persistence—coastal stratus clouds could cap highs at 64-65°F if winds stay 5-10 mph westerly, while earlier burn-off might push toward 68-69°F. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread, with historical April averages near 68°F providing context amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 14?
60-61°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 28%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
25%
74°F or higher
25%
60-61°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 28%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
25%
74°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) highs of 64-69°F on April 14, driven by lingering onshore flow and partial clearing after recent weekend rains that depressed temperatures into the low 60s. The tight clustering among top outcomes stems from uncertainty in marine layer persistence—coastal stratus clouds could cap highs at 64-65°F if winds stay 5-10 mph westerly, while earlier burn-off might push toward 68-69°F. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread, with historical April averages near 68°F providing context amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions