Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 at 18-19°C on average, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northerly wind persistence, and timing of post-frontal clearing after recent cool air advection over eastern China. This model divergence—some runs favoring cooler 17°C under overcast skies, others warmer 20°C with southerly flow—explains the tight trader sentiment across 17-20°C outcomes, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C highs amid spring variability. Daily high-resolution updates from CMA stations and new 00Z/12Z model ensembles tomorrow could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Xujiahui observatory measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
17°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
25%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
17°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
13°C or below
$519 交易量
<1%
14°C
$700 交易量
2%
15°C
$180 交易量
4%
16°C
$421 交易量
5%
17°C
$133 交易量
18%
18°C
$98 交易量
28%
19°C
$92 交易量
30%
20°C
$72 交易量
25%
21°C
$195 交易量
9%
22°C
$152 交易量
2%
23°C or higher
$232 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 at 18-19°C on average, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northerly wind persistence, and timing of post-frontal clearing after recent cool air advection over eastern China. This model divergence—some runs favoring cooler 17°C under overcast skies, others warmer 20°C with southerly flow—explains the tight trader sentiment across 17-20°C outcomes, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C highs amid spring variability. Daily high-resolution updates from CMA stations and new 00Z/12Z model ensembles tomorrow could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Xujiahui observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$2,696結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 at 18-19°C on average, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northerly wind persistence, and timing of post-frontal clearing after recent cool air advection over eastern China. This model divergence—some runs favoring cooler 17°C under overcast skies, others warmer 20°C with southerly flow—explains the tight trader sentiment across 17-20°C outcomes, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C highs amid spring variability. Daily high-resolution updates from CMA stations and new 00Z/12Z model ensembles tomorrow could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Xujiahui observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,696結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 at 18-19°C on average, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, northerly wind persistence, and timing of post-frontal clearing after recent cool air advection over eastern China. This model divergence—some runs favoring cooler 17°C under overcast skies, others warmer 20°C with southerly flow—explains the tight trader sentiment across 17-20°C outcomes, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 19°C highs amid spring variability. Daily high-resolution updates from CMA stations and new 00Z/12Z model ensembles tomorrow could sharpen resolution criteria based on official Xujiahui observatory measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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