Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Wuhan on April 14, propelled by a northerly airflow advecting cooler continental air masses, persistent cloud cover, and 70-87% precipitation probabilities from patchy rain and showers that suppress diurnal heating. This cooling trend follows warmer highs of 23-25°C on April 12-13, with northerly winds at 5-7 mph reinforcing the dip below the mid-April climatological average of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source. Trader sentiment ties 16°C and 17°C at 44% implied odds due to model spread on exact cloud persistence and shower timing, while 21°C at 29% reflects upside risk if breaks appear; fresh model runs expected April 13 could shift the balance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14?
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 15%
15°C or below
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
15%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
7%
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 15%
15°C or below
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
15%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Wuhan on April 14, propelled by a northerly airflow advecting cooler continental air masses, persistent cloud cover, and 70-87% precipitation probabilities from patchy rain and showers that suppress diurnal heating. This cooling trend follows warmer highs of 23-25°C on April 12-13, with northerly winds at 5-7 mph reinforcing the dip below the mid-April climatological average of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source. Trader sentiment ties 16°C and 17°C at 44% implied odds due to model spread on exact cloud persistence and shower timing, while 21°C at 29% reflects upside risk if breaks appear; fresh model runs expected April 13 could shift the balance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions