Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (84% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 82°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and solar heating. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, following March 2026's record heat (average 67.6°F) and ongoing drought conditions that reduce evaporative cooling. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means of 81-83°F, though a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms per NWS could cap intensities at 78-81°F (combined ~12%). Historical April 13 normal is 75°F; monitor this afternoon's forecast update for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月13日達拉斯的最高溫度?
4月13日達拉斯的最高溫度?
華氏82度或更高 80%
80-81°F 6.5%
78-79°F 5.5%
76-77°F 2.8%
$32,907 交易量
$32,907 交易量
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
7%
華氏82度或更高
80%
華氏82度或更高 80%
80-81°F 6.5%
78-79°F 5.5%
76-77°F 2.8%
$32,907 交易量
$32,907 交易量
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
7%
華氏82度或更高
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (84% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 82°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and solar heating. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, following March 2026's record heat (average 67.6°F) and ongoing drought conditions that reduce evaporative cooling. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means of 81-83°F, though a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms per NWS could cap intensities at 78-81°F (combined ~12%). Historical April 13 normal is 75°F; monitor this afternoon's forecast update for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions