The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
15%
20°C
32%
21°C
30%
22°C
33%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
3%
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
$67 交易量
2%
17°C
$33 交易量
2%
18°C
$47 交易量
9%
19°C
$6 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
32%
21°C
$0 交易量
30%
22°C
$0 交易量
33%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$19 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$173結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$173結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThe South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions