Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with 32–36°C outcomes clustered at 24–26.5% implied probabilities, driven by NiMet's recent bulletins projecting evening highs around 34°C amid the dry season peak. Recent observations show variability, including a 35.5°C peak on April 10 and averages near 32°C, influenced by high solar insolation, fading harmattan dust, and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 1–2°C due to cloud cover prospects and urban heat island effects at Ikeja measurement sites. NiMet's next update later today could refine steering winds and thunderstorm risks, potentially tipping the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
33°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
28°C or below
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
26%
33°C
20%
34°C
27%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
33°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
28°C or below
$234 交易量
1%
29°C
$189 交易量
9%
30°C
$23 交易量
8%
31°C
$6 交易量
12%
32°C
$6 交易量
26%
33°C
$37 交易量
20%
34°C
$6 交易量
27%
35°C
$25 交易量
24%
36°C
$6 交易量
12%
37°C
$6 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$220 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with 32–36°C outcomes clustered at 24–26.5% implied probabilities, driven by NiMet's recent bulletins projecting evening highs around 34°C amid the dry season peak. Recent observations show variability, including a 35.5°C peak on April 10 and averages near 32°C, influenced by high solar insolation, fading harmattan dust, and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 1–2°C due to cloud cover prospects and urban heat island effects at Ikeja measurement sites. NiMet's next update later today could refine steering winds and thunderstorm risks, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$759結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with 32–36°C outcomes clustered at 24–26.5% implied probabilities, driven by NiMet's recent bulletins projecting evening highs around 34°C amid the dry season peak. Recent observations show variability, including a 35.5°C peak on April 10 and averages near 32°C, influenced by high solar insolation, fading harmattan dust, and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 1–2°C due to cloud cover prospects and urban heat island effects at Ikeja measurement sites. NiMet's next update later today could refine steering winds and thunderstorm risks, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$759結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, with 32–36°C outcomes clustered at 24–26.5% implied probabilities, driven by NiMet's recent bulletins projecting evening highs around 34°C amid the dry season peak. Recent observations show variability, including a 35.5°C peak on April 10 and averages near 32°C, influenced by high solar insolation, fading harmattan dust, and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 1–2°C due to cloud cover prospects and urban heat island effects at Ikeja measurement sites. NiMet's next update later today could refine steering winds and thunderstorm risks, potentially tipping the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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