Ongoing heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, underpin trader consensus for Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show limited spread in peak daytime temperatures, with differentiation among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat-island effects. High humidity and low wind speeds are expected to sustain elevated readings, while any earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased convective activity could cap the daily high closer to 33 °C. Fresh numerical weather prediction updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 20%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
20%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 20%
33°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
$194 交易量
<1%
29°C
$107 交易量
1%
30°C
$153 交易量
1%
31°C
$225 交易量
2%
32°C
$202 交易量
7%
33°C
$173 交易量
18%
34°C
$126 交易量
29%
35°C
$137 交易量
27%
36°C
$1,212 交易量
20%
37°C
$386 交易量
4%
38°C or higher
$76 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, underpin trader consensus for Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show limited spread in peak daytime temperatures, with differentiation among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat-island effects. High humidity and low wind speeds are expected to sustain elevated readings, while any earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased convective activity could cap the daily high closer to 33 °C. Fresh numerical weather prediction updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,991結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, underpin trader consensus for Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show limited spread in peak daytime temperatures, with differentiation among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat-island effects. High humidity and low wind speeds are expected to sustain elevated readings, while any earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased convective activity could cap the daily high closer to 33 °C. Fresh numerical weather prediction updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,991結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETOngoing heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, underpin trader consensus for Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show limited spread in peak daytime temperatures, with differentiation among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat-island effects. High humidity and low wind speeds are expected to sustain elevated readings, while any earlier sea-breeze intrusion or increased convective activity could cap the daily high closer to 33 °C. Fresh numerical weather prediction updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions