Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
18%
32°C
22%
33°C
40%
34°C
20%
35°C
10%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
$61 交易量
4%
30°C
$34 交易量
8%
31°C
$12 交易量
18%
32°C
$6 交易量
22%
33°C
$13 交易量
40%
34°C
$12 交易量
20%
35°C
$10 交易量
10%
36°C
$5 交易量
9%
37°C
$219 交易量
1%
38°C
$350 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$335 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
交易量
$1,059結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,059結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions