Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (89.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest forecast models projecting a peak of 93°F (34°C) under persistent clear skies and high solar insolation typical of the equatorial dry season. National and international models like those reflected on Weather Underground and AccuWeather show minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low precipitation risk (under 25%), allowing intense daytime heating with highs routinely exceeding 32°C in April climatology. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no tropical disturbances or frontal boundaries to disrupt this pattern, though localized sea breeze or unexpected showers could trim peaks to 31°C (4.5%). Official observations from Tocumen International Airport will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
32°C or higher 90%
31°C 5%
30°C 1.8%
29°C <1%
$10,104 交易量
$10,104 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
90%
32°C or higher 90%
31°C 5%
30°C 1.8%
29°C <1%
$10,104 交易量
$10,104 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (89.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest forecast models projecting a peak of 93°F (34°C) under persistent clear skies and high solar insolation typical of the equatorial dry season. National and international models like those reflected on Weather Underground and AccuWeather show minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low precipitation risk (under 25%), allowing intense daytime heating with highs routinely exceeding 32°C in April climatology. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no tropical disturbances or frontal boundaries to disrupt this pattern, though localized sea breeze or unexpected showers could trim peaks to 31°C (4.5%). Official observations from Tocumen International Airport will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions