The National Weather Service forecast for Austin Camp Mabry projects a high near 89°F on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with south winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in strong short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This reflects ongoing warm, humid advection from southerly flow, building on today's observed highs near 84°F despite patchy drizzle and isolated severe storms in the region—conditions aligned with Central Texas's April climatology, where highs typically reach 77-83°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, significant cooling below 80°F would require an unlikely surge in convective clouds or a premature cold front; evening NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 91%
78-79°F 5.9%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$28,993 交易量
$28,993 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
91%
80°F or higher 91%
78-79°F 5.9%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$28,993 交易量
$28,993 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The National Weather Service forecast for Austin Camp Mabry projects a high near 89°F on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with south winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in strong short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This reflects ongoing warm, humid advection from southerly flow, building on today's observed highs near 84°F despite patchy drizzle and isolated severe storms in the region—conditions aligned with Central Texas's April climatology, where highs typically reach 77-83°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, significant cooling below 80°F would require an unlikely surge in convective clouds or a premature cold front; evening NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions