Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
33°C 33%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 14%
$22,955 交易量
$22,955 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
33%
34°C
32%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 14%
$22,955 交易量
$22,955 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
33%
34°C
32%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C and 34°C nearly equally as Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, capturing genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid NiMet's latest bulletins forecasting partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms over southern Nigeria. Recent NiMet outlooks for mid-April note daytime highs up to 33°C under similar conditions, with prospects of convective activity suppressing maxima if afternoon showers develop, while clearer intervals or delayed sea breezes could push toward 34°C. April climatology averages 32°C maxima at official stations, influenced by urban heat island effects in Lagos and southerly winds moderating inland advection. Global model ensembles show tight spread around this range, with updated NiMet and ECMWF guidance due within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions