Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (38%) and 68-69°F (33%) for Los Angeles International Airport's (KLAX) highest temperature on April 15, reflecting ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that show clustered highs around 69-71°F amid uncertainty in marine layer burn-off timing. The National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard reports no marine layer or inversion at KLAX early on April 14, following diminished showers from a departing trough, with weak onshore winds and building high pressure favoring partly sunny conditions and peak heating by afternoon. Subtle differences hinge on stratocumulus cloud persistence during midday—faster clearing boosts 70-71°F or 72°F+ (19.5%), while lingering low clouds cap at 68-69°F. Resolution awaits official KLAX observations; check NWS updates for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 34%
72°F or higher 19%
66-67°F 3.1%
$19,399 交易量
$19,399 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
38%
72°F or higher
19%
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 34%
72°F or higher 19%
66-67°F 3.1%
$19,399 交易量
$19,399 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
38%
72°F or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (38%) and 68-69°F (33%) for Los Angeles International Airport's (KLAX) highest temperature on April 15, reflecting ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models that show clustered highs around 69-71°F amid uncertainty in marine layer burn-off timing. The National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard reports no marine layer or inversion at KLAX early on April 14, following diminished showers from a departing trough, with weak onshore winds and building high pressure favoring partly sunny conditions and peak heating by afternoon. Subtle differences hinge on stratocumulus cloud persistence during midday—faster clearing boosts 70-71°F or 72°F+ (19.5%), while lingering low clouds cap at 68-69°F. Resolution awaits official KLAX observations; check NWS updates for intraday shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions