Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's latest outlook for April 15 in Cape Town, forecasting partly cloudy conditions with morning fog along the coastline and isolated showers over the western parts, yielding cool-to-warm daytime highs amid autumnal cooling trends. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 20–21°C (27–33.5%), as partial cloud cover and potential thundershowers limit peak solar heating compared to recent sunnier days like April 13–14 (forecast 21–22°C). Differentiating factors include fog dissipation timing, northerly wind persistence for slight warming versus southerly shifts cooling surfaces, and model ensemble spread from GFS/ECMWF analogs showing 1–2°C variability; fresh SAWS updates or afternoon observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
20°C 33%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
$16,623 交易量
最新
$16,623 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
31%
22°C
16%
23°C
12%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
$16,623 交易量
最新
$16,623 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
$737 交易量
<1%
16°C
$901 交易量
<1%
17°C
$12,106 交易量
1%
18°C
$609 交易量
6%
19°C
$330 交易量
19%
20°C
$96 交易量
32%
21°C
$259 交易量
31%
22°C
$346 交易量
16%
23°C
$206 交易量
12%
24°C
$337 交易量
1%
25°C or higher
$696 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's latest outlook for April 15 in Cape Town, forecasting partly cloudy conditions with morning fog along the coastline and isolated showers over the western parts, yielding cool-to-warm daytime highs amid autumnal cooling trends. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 20–21°C (27–33.5%), as partial cloud cover and potential thundershowers limit peak solar heating compared to recent sunnier days like April 13–14 (forecast 21–22°C). Differentiating factors include fog dissipation timing, northerly wind persistence for slight warming versus southerly shifts cooling surfaces, and model ensemble spread from GFS/ECMWF analogs showing 1–2°C variability; fresh SAWS updates or afternoon observations could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$16,623結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's latest outlook for April 15 in Cape Town, forecasting partly cloudy conditions with morning fog along the coastline and isolated showers over the western parts, yielding cool-to-warm daytime highs amid autumnal cooling trends. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 20–21°C (27–33.5%), as partial cloud cover and potential thundershowers limit peak solar heating compared to recent sunnier days like April 13–14 (forecast 21–22°C). Differentiating factors include fog dissipation timing, northerly wind persistence for slight warming versus southerly shifts cooling surfaces, and model ensemble spread from GFS/ECMWF analogs showing 1–2°C variability; fresh SAWS updates or afternoon observations could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,623結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's latest outlook for April 15 in Cape Town, forecasting partly cloudy conditions with morning fog along the coastline and isolated showers over the western parts, yielding cool-to-warm daytime highs amid autumnal cooling trends. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 20–21°C (27–33.5%), as partial cloud cover and potential thundershowers limit peak solar heating compared to recent sunnier days like April 13–14 (forecast 21–22°C). Differentiating factors include fog dissipation timing, northerly wind persistence for slight warming versus southerly shifts cooling surfaces, and model ensemble spread from GFS/ECMWF analogs showing 1–2°C variability; fresh SAWS updates or afternoon observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions