Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.1%
最新
$89,548 交易量
最新
$89,548 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
27%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.1%
最新
$89,548 交易量
最新
$89,548 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
$9,390 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,626 交易量
1%
19°C
$7,085 交易量
4%
20°C
$4,619 交易量
27%
21°C
$4,807 交易量
40%
22°C
$6,916 交易量
23%
23°C
$6,373 交易量
2%
24°C or higher
$8,024 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$89,548結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,548結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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