Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 16?
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C
36%
23°C
28%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
$329 交易量
<1%
17°C
$79 交易量
2%
18°C
$34 交易量
7%
19°C
$21 交易量
7%
20°C
$35 交易量
7%
21°C
$0 交易量
23%
22°C
$13 交易量
36%
23°C
$0 交易量
28%
24°C
$39 交易量
8%
25°C
$25 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$10 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$585結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$585結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions