Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligning with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, project Busan's highest temperature on April 16 at around 19°C under sunny skies and fresh north-easterly winds around 30 km/h, moderating daytime heating after recent drizzle-limited highs near 21°C on April 13. This trader consensus—19°C at 49% implied probability, trailed closely by 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30%)—reflects model ensemble agreement on a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, with minimal cloud cover favoring precise peaks in the 18–21°C range typical for mid-April climatology (historical highs averaging 18°C amid lengthening daylight and neutral ENSO conditions). Uncertainty persists from potential wind shifts or overnight lows near 12°C; expect refined probabilities from daily KMA updates through April 15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 16?
21°C 32%
20°C 32%
18°C 10%
17°C 9%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
10%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
5%
21°C 32%
20°C 32%
18°C 10%
17°C 9%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
10%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligning with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, project Busan's highest temperature on April 16 at around 19°C under sunny skies and fresh north-easterly winds around 30 km/h, moderating daytime heating after recent drizzle-limited highs near 21°C on April 13. This trader consensus—19°C at 49% implied probability, trailed closely by 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30%)—reflects model ensemble agreement on a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, with minimal cloud cover favoring precise peaks in the 18–21°C range typical for mid-April climatology (historical highs averaging 18°C amid lengthening daylight and neutral ENSO conditions). Uncertainty persists from potential wind shifts or overnight lows near 12°C; expect refined probabilities from daily KMA updates through April 15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions