Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
35%
20°C
17%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 35%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
12°C or below
$1,127 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,313 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,255 交易量
<1%
15°C
$226 交易量
1%
16°C
$85 交易量
9%
17°C
$109 交易量
13%
18°C
$42 交易量
20%
19°C
$36 交易量
35%
20°C
$42 交易量
17%
21°C
$44 交易量
12%
22°C or higher
$344 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
交易量
$4,579結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,579結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions