Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
7%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
14%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
10°C or below
$220 交易量
1%
11°C
$231 交易量
1%
12°C
$213 交易量
1%
13°C
$221 交易量
4%
14°C
$40 交易量
7%
15°C
$20 交易量
23%
16°C
$21 交易量
40%
17°C
$20 交易量
22%
18°C
$216 交易量
14%
19°C
$372 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$271 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,844結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,844結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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