Latest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 42%
18°C 26%
20°C 12.4%
17°C 6%
最新
$14,853 交易量
最新
$14,853 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
42%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 42%
18°C 26%
20°C 12.4%
17°C 6%
最新
$14,853 交易量
最新
$14,853 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C or below
$2,289 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,032 交易量
<1%
14°C
$585 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,627 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,826 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,928 交易量
6%
18°C
$1,058 交易量
26%
19°C
$1,095 交易量
42%
20°C
$736 交易量
12%
21°C
$1,030 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$671 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$14,853結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,853結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest KNMI guidance projects a maximum temperature around 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15 amid morning sunshine transitioning to increasing clouds, light southerly winds, and a 30% chance of isolated showers by late afternoon, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes. The market-implied probability favors 19°C at 43.5%, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18-19°C with some warmer outliers from stronger southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge, while 18°C trails at 25.5% and 20°C at 11.5%. This setup exceeds historical April norms of 13-14°C at Schiphol Airport station, but afternoon cloudiness introduces uncertainty around the peak hour. Monitor hourly KNMI updates for real-time shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions