Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project an overnight low near 15°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 15, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 50% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58% implied probability. Recent showers through April 11, which bottomed at 13°C, have given way to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, tempering radiative cooling while persistent cloud cover prevents sharper drops below 14°C. Mid-April climatology supports lows around 12-14°C historically, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer end; new 12z model runs today could refine this 2°C spread ahead of observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日上海最低溫度?
4月15日上海最低溫度?
15°C 63.1%
13°C 25.9%
14°C 13.9%
12°C 2.3%
$50,635 交易量
$50,635 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
14%
15°C
63%
15°C 63.1%
13°C 25.9%
14°C 13.9%
12°C 2.3%
$50,635 交易量
$50,635 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
14%
15°C
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project an overnight low near 15°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 15, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 50% precipitation odds, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58% implied probability. Recent showers through April 11, which bottomed at 13°C, have given way to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, tempering radiative cooling while persistent cloud cover prevents sharper drops below 14°C. Mid-April climatology supports lows around 12-14°C historically, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer end; new 12z model runs today could refine this 2°C spread ahead of observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions