National Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 18%
86°F or higher 9%
最新
$11,227 交易量
最新
$11,227 交易量
2026-04-15
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
33%
86°F or higher
9%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 18%
86°F or higher 9%
最新
$11,227 交易量
最新
$11,227 交易量
2026-04-15
67°F or below
$351 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$457 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,231 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$658 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$795 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$742 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,640 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$1,002 交易量
18%
82-83°F
$968 交易量
41%
84-85°F
$1,134 交易量
33%
86°F or higher
$1,280 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$11,227結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,227結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions