Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
4月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 12%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
8%
14°C
12%
15°C
23%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C
12%
19°C
10%
20°C或以上
2%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 12%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C或以下
$59 交易量
1%
11°C
$61 交易量
2%
12°C
$90 交易量
8%
13°C
$78 交易量
8%
14°C
$77 交易量
12%
15°C
$67 交易量
23%
16°C
$78 交易量
19%
17°C
$13 交易量
20%
18°C
$140 交易量
12%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$454結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$454結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFollowing a record early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens southwest London on April 8, trader sentiment has shifted to reflect cooler westerly airflow ushering in Atlantic disturbances, with Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converging on a high near 16°C for April 14. The tightly clustered market-implied odds—17°C at 29%, flanked by 15-18°C outcomes—stem from ensemble model spread, where drier sunny intervals under weak high pressure could boost peaks to 17-18°C, while increased cloud cover or showers from passing fronts caps them at 14-15°C. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and boundary layer mixing, against a climatological April high of 13-14°C at Heathrow. Updated guidance expected midday April 13.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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