Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (34%) and 22°C (33.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in latest forecast models amid morning showers. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS projects daytime highs of 22–24°C as clouds partially clear after early rain, per AccuWeather's outlook of 75°F (24°C) peaks and local forecasts like chinaweather.org at 23°C, but persistent overcast or delayed clearing could limit solar heating to 21–22°C. Historical April averages hover at 23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with frontal systems driving variability; recent cloudy patterns have slightly cooled expectations. China Meteorological Administration hourly updates today may tip the balance before resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C 19%
20°C 11.7%
$24,233 交易量
$24,233 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C
19%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C 19%
20°C 11.7%
$24,233 交易量
$24,233 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C
19%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (34%) and 22°C (33.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in latest forecast models amid morning showers. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS projects daytime highs of 22–24°C as clouds partially clear after early rain, per AccuWeather's outlook of 75°F (24°C) peaks and local forecasts like chinaweather.org at 23°C, but persistent overcast or delayed clearing could limit solar heating to 21–22°C. Historical April averages hover at 23°C in this humid subtropical climate, with frontal systems driving variability; recent cloudy patterns have slightly cooled expectations. China Meteorological Administration hourly updates today may tip the balance before resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions