The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast, updated April 14, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 15 at 15°C around mid-afternoon amid mild south-southwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s and under 10% precipitation risk, driving trader consensus to 70.5% implied probability for 15°C or higher. This upward shift from the April 13 outlook of 11°C reflects evolving model consensus capturing warmer air advection from southerly flow amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, contrasting mid-April climatological highs near 8°C. Recent observations show April 14 daytime temperatures holding at 8–10°C with clear periods. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential cloud cover or wind shifts; final observations from FMI stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
15°C or higher 69%
14°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
12°C 2.5%
$19,089 交易量
$19,089 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
69%
15°C or higher 69%
14°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
12°C 2.5%
$19,089 交易量
$19,089 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast, updated April 14, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 15 at 15°C around mid-afternoon amid mild south-southwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s and under 10% precipitation risk, driving trader consensus to 70.5% implied probability for 15°C or higher. This upward shift from the April 13 outlook of 11°C reflects evolving model consensus capturing warmer air advection from southerly flow amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, contrasting mid-April climatological highs near 8°C. Recent observations show April 14 daytime temperatures holding at 8–10°C with clear periods. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential cloud cover or wind shifts; final observations from FMI stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions