Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 13%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F or below
$132 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$129 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$146 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$57 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$7 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$33 交易量
29%
86-87°F
$89 交易量
38%
88-89°F
$36 交易量
12%
90-91°F
$40 交易量
9%
92-93°F
$24 交易量
5%
94°F or higher
$145 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$828結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$828結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mid-to-upper 80s°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance showing highs in the upper 70s/upper 80s under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. Southeast winds of 10-15 mph advect warm, humid Gulf air, boosting boundary layer temperatures while low precipitation odds (under 20%) minimize cloud interference with solar insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads—GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 86-89°F with clearer skies, while ECMWF hints at thinner cirrus veils potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F—against an April climatological average of 79°F. New 00Z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions