Latest multi-model forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com place Chengdu's highest temperature on April 16 at 76–78°F (24–26°C), driving trader consensus toward 25°C at 35% implied probability amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated late thunderstorms and light southerly winds capping extremes. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing recent highs around 23°C under overcast skies on April 14–15, following a mid-April warming trend from earlier 27°C peaks amid persistent spring moisture in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April averages hover near 22–23°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor mild advection; expect CMA updates tomorrow that could refine probabilities based on evolving cloud cover and frontal influences.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
24°C 27%
26°C or higher 25%
25°C 19%
23°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
27%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
25%
24°C 27%
26°C or higher 25%
25°C 19%
23°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
27%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest multi-model forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com place Chengdu's highest temperature on April 16 at 76–78°F (24–26°C), driving trader consensus toward 25°C at 35% implied probability amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated late thunderstorms and light southerly winds capping extremes. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing recent highs around 23°C under overcast skies on April 14–15, following a mid-April warming trend from earlier 27°C peaks amid persistent spring moisture in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April averages hover near 22–23°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor mild advection; expect CMA updates tomorrow that could refine probabilities based on evolving cloud cover and frontal influences.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions