Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
23°C 15%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
18°C or below
47%
19°C
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
11%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
23°C 15%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
18°C or below
$189 交易量
47%
19°C
$29 交易量
15%
20°C
$29 交易量
19%
21°C
$55 交易量
14%
22°C
$72 交易量
9%
23°C
$48 交易量
15%
24°C
$71 交易量
11%
25°C
$24 交易量
7%
26°C
$71 交易量
2%
27°C
$171 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$91 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
交易量
$811結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$811結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions