Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 29°C high at 47% implied probability for Shenzhen on April 16, closely followed by 30°C at 32%, reflecting the latest Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting around 30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h drawing warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent observations show highs climbing to 29–30°C over the past week under partly clear skies, slightly above late-April climatological averages of 27–28°C, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, though isolated showers (20–50% probability) could limit peaks to 29°C; final resolution awaits official ZGSZ station data tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
29°C 42%
30°C 36%
28°C 18%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
42%
30°C
36%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 42%
30°C 36%
28°C 18%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
22°C or below
$384 交易量
1%
23°C
$780 交易量
<1%
24°C
$470 交易量
1%
25°C
$383 交易量
1%
26°C
$70 交易量
3%
27°C
$540 交易量
9%
28°C
$155 交易量
18%
29°C
$44 交易量
42%
30°C
$98 交易量
36%
31°C
$281 交易量
5%
32°C or higher
$33 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 29°C high at 47% implied probability for Shenzhen on April 16, closely followed by 30°C at 32%, reflecting the latest Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting around 30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h drawing warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent observations show highs climbing to 29–30°C over the past week under partly clear skies, slightly above late-April climatological averages of 27–28°C, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, though isolated showers (20–50% probability) could limit peaks to 29°C; final resolution awaits official ZGSZ station data tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
交易量
$3,215結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 29°C high at 47% implied probability for Shenzhen on April 16, closely followed by 30°C at 32%, reflecting the latest Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting around 30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h drawing warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent observations show highs climbing to 29–30°C over the past week under partly clear skies, slightly above late-April climatological averages of 27–28°C, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, though isolated showers (20–50% probability) could limit peaks to 29°C; final resolution awaits official ZGSZ station data tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,215結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 29°C high at 47% implied probability for Shenzhen on April 16, closely followed by 30°C at 32%, reflecting the latest Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting around 30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 15–25 km/h drawing warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent observations show highs climbing to 29–30°C over the past week under partly clear skies, slightly above late-April climatological averages of 27–28°C, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, though isolated showers (20–50% probability) could limit peaks to 29°C; final resolution awaits official ZGSZ station data tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions