NEA's fortnightly outlook for early April 2026 highlights the onset of inter-monsoon conditions, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers across Singapore while daily maximum temperatures at Changi Airport could still reach 33–35°C on several days. Trader consensus reflects this tension, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 41.5% each for 30°C and 32°C highs, underscoring uncertainty in convective cooling versus urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes. Ensemble forecast models show variability around the climatological April average of 31°C, influenced by transitioning La Niña to ENSO-neutral patterns. Watch NEA's daily updates through April 16 for refined guidance on cloud cover and peak heating potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's fortnightly outlook for early April 2026 highlights the onset of inter-monsoon conditions, forecasting frequent afternoon thundery showers across Singapore while daily maximum temperatures at Changi Airport could still reach 33–35°C on several days. Trader consensus reflects this tension, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 41.5% each for 30°C and 32°C highs, underscoring uncertainty in convective cooling versus urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes. Ensemble forecast models show variability around the climatological April average of 31°C, influenced by transitioning La Niña to ENSO-neutral patterns. Watch NEA's daily updates through April 16 for refined guidance on cloud cover and peak heating potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions