Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory converge on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for that outcome and 22% for 23°C. Persistent showers and overcast skies from frontal systems over April 13-14—yielding an April 14 high near 21°C—have suppressed temperatures through reduced solar insolation, aligning with Wuhan's humid subtropical climate where mid-April averages hover around 22-23°C. Variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty, as brief clearing could nudge peaks higher, while ongoing rain favors 21°C or below (18.4%); hourly airport observations will clarify resolution amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日武漢氣溫最高?
4月15日武漢氣溫最高?
22°C 47%
23°C 23%
21°C或以下 20.8%
24°C 7.2%
$21,629 交易量
$21,629 交易量
21°C或以下
21%
22°C
47%
23°C
23%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
22°C 47%
23°C 23%
21°C或以下 20.8%
24°C 7.2%
$21,629 交易量
$21,629 交易量
21°C或以下
21%
22°C
47%
23°C
23%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory converge on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driving trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for that outcome and 22% for 23°C. Persistent showers and overcast skies from frontal systems over April 13-14—yielding an April 14 high near 21°C—have suppressed temperatures through reduced solar insolation, aligning with Wuhan's humid subtropical climate where mid-April averages hover around 22-23°C. Variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty, as brief clearing could nudge peaks higher, while ongoing rain favors 21°C or below (18.4%); hourly airport observations will clarify resolution amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions