Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread centered around 9-11°C but tails extending to 13°C or higher under optimistic warm advection scenarios and down to 6-8°C with persistent cloud cover or cooler air masses. Recent forecast updates over the past 24 hours indicate slight upward revisions in the warmer outcomes, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region favoring mild southerly flows, though disagreements persist on frontal timing and cloudiness ahead of potential low-pressure influences. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 8-10°C amid spring variability; Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and new ECMWF runs expected April 15 could sharpen the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
13°C or higher 38%
12°C 23%
11°C 18%
9°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
16%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C or higher
33%
13°C or higher 38%
12°C 23%
11°C 18%
9°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
3°C or below
$202 交易量
1%
4°C
$216 交易量
1%
5°C
$104 交易量
1%
6°C
$115 交易量
3%
7°C
$113 交易量
3%
8°C
$77 交易量
3%
9°C
$75 交易量
16%
10°C
$29 交易量
16%
11°C
$21 交易量
18%
12°C
$26 交易量
25%
13°C or higher
$24 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread centered around 9-11°C but tails extending to 13°C or higher under optimistic warm advection scenarios and down to 6-8°C with persistent cloud cover or cooler air masses. Recent forecast updates over the past 24 hours indicate slight upward revisions in the warmer outcomes, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region favoring mild southerly flows, though disagreements persist on frontal timing and cloudiness ahead of potential low-pressure influences. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 8-10°C amid spring variability; Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and new ECMWF runs expected April 15 could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,002結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread centered around 9-11°C but tails extending to 13°C or higher under optimistic warm advection scenarios and down to 6-8°C with persistent cloud cover or cooler air masses. Recent forecast updates over the past 24 hours indicate slight upward revisions in the warmer outcomes, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region favoring mild southerly flows, though disagreements persist on frontal timing and cloudiness ahead of potential low-pressure influences. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 8-10°C amid spring variability; Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and new ECMWF runs expected April 15 could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,002結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 16, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread centered around 9-11°C but tails extending to 13°C or higher under optimistic warm advection scenarios and down to 6-8°C with persistent cloud cover or cooler air masses. Recent forecast updates over the past 24 hours indicate slight upward revisions in the warmer outcomes, driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Baltic region favoring mild southerly flows, though disagreements persist on frontal timing and cloudiness ahead of potential low-pressure influences. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 8-10°C amid spring variability; Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and new ECMWF runs expected April 15 could sharpen the outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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