Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
30°C 32%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
34°C 29%
29°C or below
21%
30°C
32%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
29%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
34°C 29%
29°C or below
21%
30°C
32%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
29%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions