Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日廣州最高溫度？
4月15日廣州最高溫度？
31°C 24%
32°C 24%
35°C 24%
30°C或以下 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-15
30°C或以下
21%
31°C
24%
32°C
24%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C或以上
1%
31°C 24%
32°C 24%
35°C 24%
30°C或以下 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-15
30°C或以下
$12 交易量
21%
31°C
$6 交易量
24%
32°C
$8 交易量
24%
33°C
$39 交易量
21%
34°C
$33 交易量
21%
35°C
$9 交易量
24%
36°C
$27 交易量
21%
37°C
$27 交易量
3%
38°C
$511 交易量
5%
39°C
$519 交易量
1%
40°C或以上
$235 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,426結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,426結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETTrader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions