Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
28°C 32%
29°C 25%
27°C 23%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
23%
28°C
32%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 25%
27°C 23%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
23°C or below
$124 交易量
1%
24°C
$147 交易量
2%
25°C
$148 交易量
4%
26°C
$243 交易量
11%
27°C
$256 交易量
23%
28°C
$174 交易量
32%
29°C
$561 交易量
25%
30°C
$107 交易量
9%
31°C
$84 交易量
3%
32°C
$125 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,993結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,993結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions